💰 Dividend Policy Game: Nvidia Edition
Step 1: Choose a Dividend Policy
You are Nvidia's CFO. Choose a dividend policy that reflects your priorities and expectations.
High Dividend
Low Dividend
No Dividend
Share Repurchase
Step 2: Implications of Your Choice
Next: Shareholder Strategy
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Step 3: Shareholder Strategy
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📚 Dividend Policy Theories (Textbook Summary)
📘
Dividend Irrelevance Theory (Modigliani & Miller):
🔹 Assumes perfect capital markets (no taxes, no floatation costs, etc.)
🔹 Dividend policy does
not
impact firm value
🔹 Investors are indifferent between dividends and capital gains
🐦
Bird-in-the-Hand Theory:
🔹 Investors prefer "certain" dividends today to uncertain capital gains tomorrow
🔹 Higher dividends = lower perceived risk
🔹 Firms with high payouts can have higher valuation
💸
Tax Preference Theory:
🔹 Capital gains taxed less favorably than dividends
🔹 Investors prefer low or zero dividends to defer taxes
🔹 Firms retain more earnings to increase shareholder value
📢
Signaling Theory:
🔹 Dividend increases = positive signal about future earnings
🔹 Dividend cuts = negative signal (often causes stock price to drop)
🔹 Firms use dividend policy to communicate confidence
🔐
Agency Cost Theory:
🔹 Dividends reduce free cash flow that managers might misuse
🔹 Payouts align interests of management and shareholders
🔹 More relevant in firms with dispersed ownership